Early Detection of Suicidal Ideations/Attempts and Intentional Self harm

Cohort Info

Males
25-50 Years Old
Case: 4,093
Control: 694,200

6 MONTHS PREDICTION WINDOW

Performance: Total Model vs Models based on Individual Codes

AUC: 0.30988

8,196 
(1 POS)

(Could not compute the rest)

631,628 
(1823 POS)

Males:
AUC 83.9%
Sensitivity 51.4%
Positive LR: 10.28
Negative LR: 0.51
Females:
AUC 88.1%
Sensitivity 51.8%
Positive LR: 10.36
Negative LR: 0.51

632,396 
(100 POS)

Males:
AUC 66.4%
Sensitivity 26.4%
Positive LR: 5.28
Negative LR: 0.77
Females:
AUC 77.8%
Sensitivity 34.0%
Positive LR: 6.81
Negative LR: 0.69

631,573 
(1959 POS)

Males:
AUC 83.1%
Sensitivity 48.7%
Positive LR: 9.74
Negative LR: 0.54
Females:
AUC 85.8%
Sensitivity 51.7%
Positive LR: 10.33
Negative LR: 0.51

TOTAL

IDEATIONS

SELF-HARM

ATTEMPTS

Attempt at Predictive Severity Assessment in Positive Patients

Records observed: 2 years following the first SISA event